Here's where Ohio State men's basketball sits in the NCAA Tournament projections

Adam Jardy
Buckeye Xtra
The Ohio State bench celebrates a three-pointer by Duane Washington Jr. during a game against Purdue Boilermakers at Value City Arena on Jan. 19. ESPN's Joe Lunardi lists the Buckeyes as the fourth No. 1 seed and one of 10 Big Ten teams to make the NCAA tournament.

Saturday afternoon, No. 7 Ohio State closed the regular season with a fourth straight loss when No. 4 Illinois came to Value City Arena and closed with a 9-0 run to win, 73-68.

The loss came after a week of rest and recovery for the Buckeyes, who recognized seniors CJ Walker and Kyle Young both before and after the game. 

With the loss to the Hawkeyes, Ohio State closes the regular season at 18-8 overall and 12-8 in league play. 

The Buckeyes earned the No. 5 seed in the Big Ten tournament play and will open the postseason Thursday in Indianapolis

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Selection Sunday is March 14. There’s still postseason basketball to be played, and the ever-present possibility that the COVID-19 pandemic will scramble plans. With all of that in mind, here is what the postseason picture is projected to look like for the Buckeyes.

All numbers are as of Monday morning. This page will be updated throughout the remainder of the season

The Rankings

Ohio State is No. 9 in the NCAA’s NET rankings, which are used to help with seeding for the tournament. The Buckeyes are 7-6 in Quad 1 games and have no losses outside Quad 2.

Those seven wins are tied for the third-most in the nation. Regardless of which team Ohio State plays Thursday, it will be a Quad 2 game.

As a reminder, here is a breakdown of the four tiers: 

Quad 1: Home vs. teams ranked 1-30 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 1-50 / Road vs. teams ranked 1-75

Quad 2: Home vs. teams ranked 31-75 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 51-100 / Road vs. teams ranked 76-135

Quad 3: Home vs. teams ranked 76-160 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 101-200 / Road vs. teams ranked 136-240

Quad 4: Home vs. teams ranked 161-351 / Neutral vs. teams ranked 201-351 / Road vs. teams ranked 241-351

Ohio State is 5-2 in Quad 2 games, 3-0 in Quad 3 and 3-0 in Quad 4.

As of Monday morning, KenPom.com ranks the Buckeyes No. 7 nationally. They are No. 8 according to BartTorvik.com, No. 10 in ESPN’s BPI rankings and No. 7 in the Sagarin rankings.

The Projections

The official March Madness show on CBS announced the Buckeyes as a No. 1 seed in its mock bracket announced while Ohio State was hosting Indiana on February 13.

In a bracket updated Monday morning, CBSSports’ Jerry Palm has the Buckeyes as a No. 2 seed facing No. 15 seed Northeastern in the first round for the right to face the winner of a game between No. 7 seed Florida and No. 10 seed Loyola Chicago. Those games would be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse, where Chris Holtmann coached at Butler before coming to Ohio State.

In a new bracket published Sunday night, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi listed Ohio State as a No. 2 seed facing No. 15 seed Southern Utah for the right to face the winner of No. 7 Wisconsin and No. 10 UCLA, both of whom the Buckeyes defeated this season.

In a Friday update, Mike DeCourcy at The Sporting News hds the Buckeyes as a No. 2 seed facing No. 15 seed James Madison for the chance to face the winner of No. 7 seed Oregon and No. 10 seed LSU. James Madison has since lost in its conference tournament.

BracketMatrix.com, which compiles 103 different NCAA Tournament projections, has Ohio State as the third No. 2 seed, one spot ahead of Houston and one behind Iowa. Among the projections, all but one have the Buckeyes as somewhere between a No. 2 or No. 5 seed.

ajardy@dispatch.com

@AdamJardy